Elias Pettersson vs Pavel Buchnevich
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Buchnevich 36.3% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 56.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
3
Pettersson
Buchnevich
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Buchnevich
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
28.6% (192)
+15.5%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
55.6% (9)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
30.8% (13)
+4.0%
On even strength, Pettersson has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Buchnevich is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Home
45.0% (489)
30.4% (112)
Away
43.7% (508)
29.4% (102)
By Period
Pettersson
Buchnevich
P1
46.0%
27.7%
P2
45.7%
33.3%
P3
42.2%
27.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
29.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |