Elias Pettersson vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 60.9%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 52.8%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 58.1%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
3
Pettersson
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
37.7% (154)
+8.2%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
42.9% (14)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
30.0% (10)
+5.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Home
49.3% (584)
37.4% (91)
Away
44.5% (555)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Pettersson
Buchnevich
P1
45.8%
38.9%
P2
47.9%
31.5%
P3
47.1%
42.0%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |