Elias Pettersson vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 53.4%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 51.8%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 53.8%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
6
Pettersson
Buchnevich
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Buchnevich
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Buchnevich
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
33.7% (895)
+11.6%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
44.2% (52)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
24.3% (37)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Home
46.8% (2,734)
34.7% (490)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Pettersson
Buchnevich
P1
44.7%
34.4%
P2
46.0%
33.7%
P3
47.4%
33.4%
OT
39.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |