Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Zacha 51.9% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 72.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 67.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 68.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Pettersson
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pettersson
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Pettersson
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
53.7% (497)
-9.9%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
54.8% (84)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
37.5% (64)
-1.6%
On even strength, Zacha has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Pettersson shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Zacha
Home
48.3% (453)
51.0% (335)
Away
43.4% (495)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Pettersson
Zacha
P1
44.7%
60.0%
P2
46.0%
48.1%
P3
46.4%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |