Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Zacha 54.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 64.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Pettersson
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pettersson
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
53.9% (787)
-3.5%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
63.2% (193)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
44.3% (88)
-3.4%
On even strength, Zacha has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Zacha
Home
50.7% (420)
56.7% (538)
Away
50.9% (379)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Pettersson
Zacha
P1
48.0%
52.6%
P2
47.6%
54.8%
P3
57.5%
56.8%
OT
30.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
50.8%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |