Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Zacha 51.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 73.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 60.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 65.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Pettersson
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pettersson
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Pettersson
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
53.3% (646)
-7.4%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
53.0% (100)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
38.9% (72)
-3.4%
On even strength, Zacha has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Zacha
Home
49.3% (584)
51.7% (410)
Away
44.5% (555)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Pettersson
Zacha
P1
45.8%
57.7%
P2
47.9%
48.9%
P3
47.1%
50.2%
OT
47.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |