Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Zacha 52.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 69.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 69.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 69.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Pettersson
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Pettersson
Zacha
Last 9: Pettersson 2-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Pettersson
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
5
Pettersson
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
54.1% (534)
-7.8%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
56.0% (109)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
44.8% (96)
+7.1%
On even strength, Zacha has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Zacha
Home
48.1% (489)
53.4% (406)
Away
46.9% (475)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Pettersson
Zacha
P1
47.4%
56.8%
P2
48.3%
53.6%
P3
46.6%
49.2%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |