Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.6%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs McLeod 47.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 73.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 61.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 53.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Pettersson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Pettersson
McLeod
Last 7: Pettersson 2-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Pettersson
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Pettersson
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
49.2% (796)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
44.8% (87)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
43.3% (263)
-7.8%
On power play, Pettersson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McLeod
Home
49.3% (584)
49.2% (575)
Away
44.5% (555)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Pettersson
McLeod
P1
45.8%
52.8%
P2
47.9%
45.1%
P3
47.1%
45.6%
OT
47.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |