Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs McLeod 52.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 50.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 64.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Pettersson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Pettersson
McLeod
Last 7: Pettersson 2-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Pettersson
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
52.9% (904)
-6.6%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
57.6% (59)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
49.0% (241)
+2.9%
On even strength, McLeod has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McLeod
Home
48.1% (489)
51.8% (612)
Away
46.9% (475)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Pettersson
McLeod
P1
47.4%
55.4%
P2
48.3%
50.8%
P3
46.6%
51.6%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |