Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs McLeod 48.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 55.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 55.8%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Pettersson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Pettersson
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Pettersson
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Pettersson
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
49.0% (500)
-4.9%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
43.8% (48)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
44.0% (50)
-9.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McLeod
Home
45.0% (489)
50.9% (291)
Away
43.7% (508)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Pettersson
McLeod
P1
46.0%
44.3%
P2
45.7%
52.4%
P3
42.2%
47.8%
OT
23.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |