Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.8%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs McLeod 50.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 50.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Pettersson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pettersson
McLeod
Last 7: Pettersson 4-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
3
Pettersson
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
51.3% (628)
-0.9%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
68.3% (41)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
30.6% (49)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McLeod
Home
50.7% (420)
51.5% (394)
Away
50.9% (379)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Pettersson
McLeod
P1
48.0%
51.5%
P2
47.6%
47.0%
P3
57.5%
54.3%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |