Elias Pettersson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 66.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 67.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 65.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Pettersson 2-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
47.6% (231)
-1.7%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
83.3% (12)
-27.9%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
33.3% (21)
+2.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.3% (584)
51.2% (164)
Away
44.5% (555)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.8%
50.0%
P2
47.9%
46.2%
P3
47.1%
49.5%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |