Elias Pettersson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 46.6%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pettersson 46.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pettersson 56.8%
Defensive zone Pettersson 56.8%
Neutral zone Pettersson 53.6%
Result Elias Pettersson favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Pettersson Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Pettersson Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Pettersson 2-7 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Pettersson Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Pettersson Nugent-Hopkins
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
47.6% (189)
-3.8%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
100.0% (2)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
29.4% (17)
+6.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +43.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Pettersson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.3% (453)
48.5% (132)
Away
43.4% (495)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.7%
51.4%
P2
46.0%
41.3%
P3
46.4%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
44.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%
41.5%
45.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%
46.5%
46.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 17, 2026 3 14:21 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 17, 2026 2 18:24 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 17, 2026 2 15:40 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 17, 2026 2 14:31 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 26, 2025 3 13:56 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Oct 26, 2025 3 11:12 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 11, 2025 3 19:07 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 11, 2025 3 18:47 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 11, 2025 1 09:25 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins