Elias Pettersson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 46.6%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 56.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 56.8%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 53.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Pettersson 2-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
47.6% (189)
-3.8%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
100.0% (2)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
29.4% (17)
+6.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Pettersson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.3% (453)
48.5% (132)
Away
43.4% (495)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.7%
51.4%
P2
46.0%
41.3%
P3
46.4%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |