Elias Pettersson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Pettersson 6-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
50.3% (479)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
50.0% (28)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
30.0% (50)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.1% (489)
48.9% (270)
Away
46.9% (475)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.4%
48.7%
P2
48.3%
50.0%
P3
46.6%
47.3%
OT
55.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |