Elias Pettersson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 45.2%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 70.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Pettersson 3-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
5
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
45.4% (527)
-1.3%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
41.2% (17)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
44.9% (138)
-10.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.0% (489)
46.1% (336)
Away
43.7% (508)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.0%
49.1%
P2
45.7%
45.3%
P3
42.2%
42.0%
OT
23.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |