Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 73.6%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 79.0%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 78.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Pettersson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Pettersson
Monahan
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
6
Pettersson
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Pettersson
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
4
Pettersson
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
53.2% (823)
-7.3%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
55.3% (159)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
48.4% (95)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Monahan
Home
49.3% (584)
54.6% (529)
Away
44.5% (555)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Pettersson
Monahan
P1
45.8%
49.0%
P2
47.9%
55.4%
P3
47.1%
53.6%
OT
47.1%
61.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |