Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Monahan 52.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 68.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 65.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 62.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Pettersson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Pettersson
Monahan
Last 8: Pettersson 3-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Pettersson
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Pettersson
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
52.4% (853)
-6.1%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
58.6% (174)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
46.5% (144)
+5.4%
On even strength, Monahan has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Monahan
Home
48.1% (489)
53.4% (624)
Away
46.9% (475)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Pettersson
Monahan
P1
47.4%
53.7%
P2
48.3%
52.4%
P3
46.6%
51.6%
OT
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |