Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Monahan 53.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 76.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 77.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 85.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Pettersson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Pettersson
Monahan
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
6
Pettersson
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Pettersson
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
4
Pettersson
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
53.8% (664)
-10.0%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
53.3% (137)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
50.0% (62)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Pettersson shoots left. Monahan is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Monahan
Home
48.3% (453)
54.8% (405)
Away
43.4% (495)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Pettersson
Monahan
P1
44.7%
49.6%
P2
46.0%
53.9%
P3
46.4%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |