Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Monahan 54.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 58.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 56.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 55.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Pettersson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Pettersson
Monahan
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pettersson
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
5
Pettersson
Monahan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
57.1% (871)
-6.7%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
53.1% (262)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
44.6% (139)
-3.7%
On power play, Pettersson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Monahan
Home
50.7% (420)
55.3% (644)
Away
50.9% (379)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Pettersson
Monahan
P1
48.0%
53.9%
P2
47.6%
55.3%
P3
57.5%
54.4%
OT
30.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
50.8%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |