Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Gourde 49.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 55.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 75.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 68.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Pettersson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pettersson
Gourde
Last 7: Pettersson 4-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Pettersson
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
49.1% (731)
-5.2%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
54.3% (81)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
48.2% (85)
-2.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pettersson is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Pettersson shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Gourde
Home
45.5% (290)
50.9% (479)
Away
42.4% (250)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Pettersson
Gourde
P1
40.2%
51.2%
P2
43.9%
49.8%
P3
48.8%
47.5%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
37.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |