Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Gourde 46.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 82.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 62.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Pettersson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Pettersson
Gourde
Last 10: Pettersson 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
7
1
Pettersson
Gourde
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pettersson
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
2
Pettersson
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
47.2% (654)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
45.0% (20)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
32.2% (87)
+3.3%
On power play, Pettersson has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Gourde
Home
49.3% (584)
44.1% (322)
Away
44.5% (555)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Pettersson
Gourde
P1
45.8%
42.4%
P2
47.9%
49.8%
P3
47.1%
44.3%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |