Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 58.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 55.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Pettersson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Pettersson
Gourde
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Pettersson
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
2
Pettersson
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
49.1% (847)
-5.0%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
79.5% (44)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
39.5% (81)
-4.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Gourde
Home
45.0% (489)
50.1% (491)
Away
43.7% (508)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Pettersson
Gourde
P1
46.0%
54.7%
P2
45.7%
45.0%
P3
42.2%
49.4%
OT
23.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |