Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Haula 53.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 63.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 61.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 63.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
McDavid
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McDavid
Haula
Last 6: McDavid 2-4 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
3
McDavid
Haula
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
54.5% (881)
-3.0%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
68.4% (57)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
45.4% (119)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
McDavid
Haula
Home
50.7% (513)
55.4% (520)
Away
53.2% (498)
53.1% (537)
By Period
McDavid
Haula
P1
52.3%
56.5%
P2
51.6%
53.3%
P3
51.7%
53.8%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |