Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.6% vs Evans 53.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 73.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 57.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Haula
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Haula
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Haula
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (516)
53.6% (349)
-3.4%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
70.0% (10)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (39)
55.9% (161)
-7.2%
On power play, Evans has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Haula is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Haula shoots left. Evans is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Haula
Evans
Home
49.8% (321)
54.1% (290)
Away
51.7% (292)
55.2% (230)
By Period
Haula
Evans
P1
51.8%
60.1%
P2
50.5%
53.5%
P3
49.7%
50.3%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |