Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Evans 55.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 76.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 70.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Haula
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Haula
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Haula
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
56.2% (477)
-6.2%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
70.0% (10)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
55.4% (204)
-11.3%
On power play, Evans has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Haula is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Haula shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Haula
Evans
Home
48.6% (426)
55.3% (374)
Away
51.6% (411)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Haula
Evans
P1
52.2%
58.5%
P2
51.5%
55.7%
P3
46.7%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |