Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.2%). Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Evans 52.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 21-16 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 74.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Haula
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
16
(37 meetings)
21
16
Haula
Evans
Last 10: Haula 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
11
4
Haula
Evans
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
8
Haula
Evans
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
9
4
Haula
Evans
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
53.8% (3,695)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
60.0% (70)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
47.1% (1,222)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Haula
Evans
Home
53.4% (4,478)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Haula
Evans
P1
53.2%
54.0%
P2
51.4%
50.9%
P3
52.7%
52.0%
OT
43.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Erik Haula |