Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Evans 52.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 83.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 65.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 62.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Haula
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Haula
Evans
Last 8: Haula 6-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
5
0
Haula
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Haula
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
54.4% (807)
+3.2%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
55.0% (20)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
46.1% (310)
-0.6%
On power play, Evans has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Haula
Evans
Home
56.3% (449)
53.7% (581)
Away
53.3% (443)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Haula
Evans
P1
58.4%
54.6%
P2
54.9%
50.0%
P3
52.0%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Erik Haula |