Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 82.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.8%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Haula
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Haula
Dowd
Last 8: Haula 4-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Haula
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Haula
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
55.2% (625)
-0.7%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
57.1% (7)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
38.2% (220)
+7.2%
On power play, Haula has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Haula shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Haula
Dowd
Home
55.4% (520)
53.7% (445)
Away
53.1% (537)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Haula
Dowd
P1
56.5%
48.8%
P2
53.3%
49.3%
P3
53.8%
54.0%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |