Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Dowd 48.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 87.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Haula
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Haula
Dowd
Last 7: Haula 4-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Haula
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
49.2% (778)
+8.4%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
58.3% (12)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
44.0% (234)
+1.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Haula
Dowd
Home
56.3% (449)
46.3% (492)
Away
53.3% (443)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Haula
Dowd
P1
58.4%
49.1%
P2
54.9%
48.2%
P3
52.0%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |