Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 34-29 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 80.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 70.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.2%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Haula
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
29
(63 meetings)
34
29
Haula
Dowd
Last 10: Haula 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
17
8
Haula
Dowd
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
10
Haula
Dowd
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
12
11
Haula
Dowd
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
52.4% (6,009)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
56.1% (164)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
44.1% (1,635)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Haula
Dowd
Home
53.4% (4,478)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Haula
Dowd
P1
53.2%
51.7%
P2
51.4%
50.4%
P3
52.7%
50.3%
OT
43.5%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Erik Haula |