Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.2% vs Carpenter 49.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 72.4%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 71.6%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 72.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Haula
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Haula
Carpenter
Last 6: Haula 1-5 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Haula
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
3
Haula
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (388)
51.9% (81)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.6% (47)
41.2% (17)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (55)
42.9% (28)
-2.9%
On power play, Haula has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Haula is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Haula shoots left. Carpenter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Haula
Carpenter
Home
57.6% (210)
60.3% (68)
Away
53.2% (280)
34.5% (58)
By Period
Haula
Carpenter
P1
55.5%
43.2%
P2
54.8%
55.8%
P3
55.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |