Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 75.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 81.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 58.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Haula
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Haula
Carpenter
Last 9: Haula 4-5 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
0
Haula
Carpenter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
3
Haula
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Haula
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (734)
53.2% (299)
-0.5%
Power Play
71.4% (49)
33.3% (3)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
46.5% (86)
+5.7%
On power play, Haula has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Haula is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Haula shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Haula
Carpenter
Home
54.0% (404)
54.6% (207)
Away
53.7% (402)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Haula
Carpenter
P1
50.8%
52.3%
P2
55.0%
51.5%
P3
55.1%
50.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Erik Haula |