Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 54.0%). Haula wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Carpenter 52.2% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 51.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 55.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Haula
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
53.1% (113)
+1.4%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
100.0% (1)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
60.0% (10)
-14.6%
On power play, Carpenter has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Haula shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Haula
Carpenter
Home
55.4% (520)
58.5% (65)
Away
53.1% (537)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Haula
Carpenter
P1
56.5%
65.8%
P2
53.3%
50.0%
P3
53.8%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%