Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 50.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 67.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 69.7%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Haula
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Haula
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Haula
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
48.8% (404)
+8.8%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
100.0% (1)
-54.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
43.6% (101)
+1.9%
On power play, Carpenter has a +54.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Haula
Carpenter
Home
56.3% (449)
48.9% (274)
Away
53.3% (443)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Haula
Carpenter
P1
58.4%
51.9%
P2
54.9%
49.4%
P3
52.0%
41.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Erik Haula |