Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.9% vs Stamkos 50.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 51.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 62.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Haula
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Haula
Stamkos
Last 5: Haula 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Haula
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (705)
49.9% (771)
+4.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
55.4% (74)
-41.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (69)
45.1% (82)
+5.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Haula is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Haula shoots left. Stamkos is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (653).
Home / Away
Haula
Stamkos
Home
49.4% (397)
50.7% (487)
Away
57.3% (384)
49.1% (440)
By Period
Haula
Stamkos
P1
51.5%
46.1%
P2
52.7%
52.0%
P3
56.3%
51.1%
OT
42.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |