Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 33-22 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 58.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 67.1%
Neutral zone
Haula 58.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Haula
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
22
(55 meetings)
33
22
Haula
Stamkos
Last 10: Haula 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
13
7
Haula
Stamkos
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
17
8
Haula
Stamkos
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
7
Haula
Stamkos
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
50.4% (9,799)
+2.5%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
55.1% (1,725)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
49.7% (825)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Haula
Stamkos
Home
53.4% (4,478)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Haula
Stamkos
P1
53.2%
49.1%
P2
51.4%
52.7%
P3
52.7%
50.9%
OT
43.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |