Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 53.8%). Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 71.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Haula
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Haula
Stamkos
Last 5: Haula 5-0 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
0
Haula
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
55.3% (628)
-0.8%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
55.1% (216)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
40.2% (87)
+5.2%
On power play, Haula has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Haula shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Haula
Stamkos
Home
55.4% (520)
55.5% (499)
Away
53.1% (537)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Haula
Stamkos
P1
56.5%
50.7%
P2
53.3%
53.8%
P3
53.8%
55.9%
OT
25.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |