Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 72.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 67.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Haula
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Haula
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Haula
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
55.9% (499)
+1.7%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
56.3% (126)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
58.3% (12)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Haula
Stamkos
Home
56.3% (449)
55.3% (349)
Away
53.3% (443)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Haula
Stamkos
P1
58.4%
57.0%
P2
54.9%
59.2%
P3
52.0%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Erik Haula |