Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Haula wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.2% vs Stamkos 55.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 68.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 57.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 56.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Haula
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Haula
Stamkos
Last 9: Haula 5-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Haula
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
5
0
Haula
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Haula
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (388)
56.5% (246)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.6% (47)
61.4% (101)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (55)
53.6% (69)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Haula is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Haula shoots left. Stamkos is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Haula
Stamkos
Home
57.6% (210)
54.7% (170)
Away
53.2% (280)
58.9% (246)
By Period
Haula
Stamkos
P1
55.5%
60.9%
P2
54.8%
59.2%
P3
55.1%
50.4%
OT
54.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
67.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Erik Haula |