Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Novak 43.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 75.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 96.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 91.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Haula
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Haula
Novak
Last 10: Haula 7-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Haula
Novak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
5
1
Haula
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
42.1% (1,539)
+10.8%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
51.9% (133)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
50.0% (2)
-6.5%
On even strength, Haula has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Haula shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Haula
Novak
Home
53.4% (4,478)
45.3% (814)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Haula
Novak
P1
53.2%
43.9%
P2
51.4%
42.8%
P3
52.7%
41.7%
OT
43.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |