Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Novak 45.0% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 63.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 91.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 84.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Haula
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Haula
Novak
Last 7: Haula 5-2 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Novak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
42.9% (198)
+10.0%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
40.9% (22)
+15.4%
On power play, Haula has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Haula shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Haula
Novak
Home
54.2% (345)
40.9% (110)
Away
51.1% (374)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Haula
Novak
P1
55.8%
39.1%
P2
48.0%
43.9%
P3
54.1%
44.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Erik Haula |