Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Novak 45.6% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 69.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 89.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 76.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Haula
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Haula
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
43.8% (384)
+10.7%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
58.8% (17)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
100.0% (1)
-54.6%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +54.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Haula
Novak
Home
55.4% (520)
46.5% (202)
Away
53.1% (537)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Haula
Novak
P1
56.5%
49.2%
P2
53.3%
44.2%
P3
53.8%
40.0%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |