Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Novak 43.5% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 73.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 77.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Haula
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Haula
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Haula
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
40.7% (460)
+16.9%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
61.5% (39)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
0.0% (1)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Haula shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Haula
Novak
Home
56.3% (449)
47.0% (236)
Away
53.3% (443)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Haula
Novak
P1
58.4%
43.1%
P2
54.9%
43.1%
P3
52.0%
40.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Erik Haula |