Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 54.7%). Haula wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Seguin 54.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 58.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.8%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Haula
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Haula
Seguin
Last 9: Haula 5-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Haula
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
55.0% (713)
-0.5%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
56.7% (104)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
47.2% (53)
-1.8%
On power play, Haula has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Haula shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Haula
Seguin
Home
55.4% (520)
56.2% (443)
Away
53.1% (537)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Haula
Seguin
P1
56.5%
54.2%
P2
53.3%
52.9%
P3
53.8%
57.1%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |