Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 27-21 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 51.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 54.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Haula
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
27
(48 meetings)
21
27
Haula
Seguin
Last 10: Haula 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
7
11
Haula
Seguin
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
6
12
Haula
Seguin
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
8
4
Haula
Seguin
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
53.7% (8,071)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
55.9% (810)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
49.3% (762)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Haula
Seguin
Home
53.4% (4,478)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Haula
Seguin
P1
53.2%
52.8%
P2
51.4%
53.3%
P3
52.7%
54.7%
OT
43.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |