Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 53.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 50.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Haula
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Haula
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Haula
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Haula
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
53.2% (201)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
60.0% (25)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
44.4% (9)
-0.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Haula is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Haula shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Haula
Seguin
Home
48.6% (426)
56.3% (126)
Away
51.6% (411)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Haula
Seguin
P1
52.2%
44.3%
P2
51.5%
52.1%
P3
46.7%
62.5%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |