Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Hughes 39.8% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 66.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 51.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 59.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Rodrigues
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rodrigues
Hughes
Last 6: Rodrigues 2-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Rodrigues
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Rodrigues
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
36.8% (266)
+11.1%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
14.3% (7)
+33.6%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
33.3% (6)
+4.0%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hughes
Home
48.3% (429)
35.1% (148)
Away
45.4% (346)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hughes
P1
48.3%
43.0%
P2
46.9%
28.7%
P3
45.6%
35.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |