Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Hughes 39.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.2%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 73.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 73.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Rodrigues
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
37.9% (623)
+7.7%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
33.3% (33)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
36.4% (11)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hughes
Home
46.5% (142)
36.6% (314)
Away
43.6% (140)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hughes
P1
42.9%
36.4%
P2
50.0%
35.6%
P3
42.4%
41.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |