Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 50.0% vs Hughes 40.3% (+12.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 60.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 59.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Rodrigues
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (41)
35.6% (281)
+15.6%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
50.0% (36)
-3.3%
On even strength, Rodrigues has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hughes
Home
45.8% (24)
38.4% (198)
Away
52.9% (34)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hughes
P1
38.1%
44.3%
P2
52.6%
34.2%
P3
61.1%
34.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%