Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Rodrigues wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.6% vs Toews 56.8% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 61.3%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 79.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 75.7%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Rodrigues
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Rodrigues
Toews
Last 8: Rodrigues 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Rodrigues
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
4
Rodrigues
Toews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Rodrigues
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (224)
55.9% (1,014)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
62.8% (301)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
55.9% (179)
-7.9%
On power play, Toews has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Rodrigues is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Rodrigues shoots right. Toews is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Toews
Home
46.2% (130)
56.6% (709)
Away
47.2% (127)
58.0% (785)
By Period
Rodrigues
Toews
P1
50.0%
60.4%
P2
46.8%
57.6%
P3
43.2%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
59.4%
Final 5 min
62.5%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2019 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |